Advanced-Apprehension
0x5d1c0e7ec9ef13fcaf08241b604d10f727154d4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-207.2K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
476 shares @ 37.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$416.50
$237.78
- NO
French election called by June 30, 2026?
381 shares @ 73.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$375.63
$94.07
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
211 shares @ 66.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$117.11
$-22.16
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$82.50
$5.50
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
473 shares @ 41.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$54.40
$-139.53
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$34.49
$-10.51
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
36 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.84
$-0.36
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ 44.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.85
$1.45
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
11 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$8.41
$0.71
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
29 shares @ 40.3¢·now 26.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.70
$-3.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$0.00Jun 5, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$20.00Jun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$97.08Jun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.00Jun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$100.00Jun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$1.1KJun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$1.1KJun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$1.2KJun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.8KJun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$2.1KJun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$4.1KJun 5, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$4.8KJun 5, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $360.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.