Careful-Echidna
0x5d54a90a40cf3130c9e6a3924f3a9868f544e670
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$9.43
Total PnL
$-2.42
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
2 shares @ 49.1¢·now 52.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1 shares @ 88.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.02
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$1.013h ago
- TRADESELLWill "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.0321h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.061d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$1.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$1.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.022d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$1.422d ago
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.002d ago
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.012d ago
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.032d ago
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on April 29?$1.293d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 29?$1.033d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.103d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.013d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".