Meek-Gunpowder
0x5d8289d74b5c8e562813a54b79d9afe035bb3d02
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$36.08
Total PnL
$-377.14
Realised
$-15.72
Win rate
60%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.92
$3.68
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.88
$0.16
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.45
$-0.20
- NO
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$3.22
$0.34
- NO
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.95
$0.22
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.92
$0.46
- NO
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.60
$-13.80
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.43
$-1.41
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 12.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.70
$0.58
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00May 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$4.00May 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$7.00May 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$8.00May 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$8.00May 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$11.00May 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$36.00May 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$37.00May 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$79.63May 25, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$0.63Feb 8, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$17.27Feb 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?$5.98Feb 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?$1.44Feb 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$17.82Feb 8, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$20.78Jan 12, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?$23.00Jan 12, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$27.00Jan 12, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?$28.00Jan 12, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?$28.38Jan 12, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?$36.00Jan 12, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $15.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".