0x5d9664f69ed546d74703b3777bb2fa157c6a59cd
0x5d9664f69ed546d74703b3777bb2fa157c6a59cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$103.29
Total PnL
$-6.43
Realised
$-0.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?
100 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$100.00
$1.70
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 61.1¢·now 65.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.28
$0.23
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
12 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-1.27
- NO
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
Recent activity
- MERGEWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$9.00Apr 1, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$3.06Mar 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$11.59Mar 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$3.60Mar 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.27Mar 26, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$5.40Mar 24, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$5.41Mar 24, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$6.30Mar 18, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$5.53Mar 18, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.33Mar 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.25Mar 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?$98.30Feb 6, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $13.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.