Wiggly-Geometry
0x5f1526aa83a730aa2f3620014859cd57cafadb39
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$75.17
Total PnL
$-5.91
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.94
$0.95
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.29
$0.19
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.15
$0.06
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
5 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.12
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.05
$-0.04
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$5.05Jun 10, 22:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.