Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Probability
4¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-1.8pp
24h Vol
$287.18
Liquidity
$21.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4604.9h
- 03:08SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4605h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 4¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 4¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 4¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 4¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 4¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 4¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 4¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 6¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 5¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.4pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.9pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.2pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Associated PressNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).