Zesty-Sidewalk
0x5f2fd10e5bbb30d1e97d5f03f87168724777756a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$996.70
Total PnL
$-596.47
Realised
$49.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
230 shares @ 86.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$226.43
$26.53
- NO
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
210 shares @ 76.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$120.75
$-40.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
110 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$105.88
$11.28
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
120 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$104.40
$0.00
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
169 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$95.75
$-4.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$89.82
$-10.18
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
130 shares @ 76.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$79.95
$-18.85
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
101 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$64.86
$5.08
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
80 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.80
$-0.40
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 6.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.60
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$16.52Jul 21, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$34.56Jul 21, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$7.92Jul 21, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$88.88Jul 21, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$0.78Jul 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$118.45Jul 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$24.55Jul 21, 08:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$73.99Jul 20, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$84.99Jul 20, 06:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$1.16Jul 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$12.90Jul 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$59.03Jul 18, 11:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$32.00Jul 17, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $40.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.