Married-Cigarette
0x5f4ec6937f7b5c9c3c7c70e82c1bdb70ae0d4bbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$26.86
Total PnL
$-676.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 49.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-0.01
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
8 shares @ 73.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.75
$-0.24
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
13 shares @ 45.8¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.42
$-0.49
- NO
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.98
$0.07
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
21 shares @ 18.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.63
$-0.16
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
25 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$-0.46
- HEAT
Spurs vs. Heat
123 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- DRX
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- BULLS
Pistons vs. Bulls
67 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- JAZZ
Heat vs. Jazz
58 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.66Jun 5, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.70Jun 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.66Jun 5, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.90Jun 5, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.77Jun 5, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.90Jun 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$2.10Jun 5, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 5, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.79Jun 5, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 5, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.34Jun 5, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?$1.16Jun 5, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$1.00Jun 5, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$1.54Jun 5, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?$1.03Jun 5, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?$1.33Jun 5, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?$2.48Jun 5, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$1.06Jun 5, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.65Jun 5, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.34Jun 5, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".