Agonizing-Familiarity
0x614ef98a8be021de3a974942b2fb98794ff34f1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-897.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
2486 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$2.5K
$119.19
- NO
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
584 shares @ 31.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.73
$14.61
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
211 shares @ 74.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$125.72
$-32.64
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1177 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.51
$-41.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1030 shares @ 92.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.79
$-944.00
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.90
$0.40
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.10
$-0.40
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
221 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US strike 7 countries in 2026?$2.7KMay 16, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 7 countries in 2026?$2.6KMay 16, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$876.00May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$956.60May 15, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$1.4KMay 14, 04:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.14May 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$595.68May 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$1.4KMay 11, 04:48 UTC
- REWARD$1.07May 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$45.38May 8, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$45.38May 8, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$36.21May 8, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$43.85May 8, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$10.31May 8, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$168.00May 7, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$6.20May 6, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$7.51May 6, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$159.95May 5, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$9.7KMay 2, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?$2.4KMay 2, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".