Spectacular-Markup
0x6218778eeed82a49ca459573f61e6190252ef344
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$607.11
Total PnL
$-151.58
Realised
$3.83
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
616 shares @ 69.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$427.93
$-2.06
- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1635 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$54.78
$2.88
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
78 shares @ 38.4¢·now 32.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.03
$-4.97
- YES
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
393 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.22
$0.23
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
985 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.78
$-3.22
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
61 shares @ 51.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.70
$-21.30
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.26
$-0.75
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
16 shares @ 74.7¢·now 52.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.35
$-3.65
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.73
$-3.27
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
190 shares @ 13.7¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.99
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.20Jun 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$30.36Jun 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$101.20Jun 14, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$30.92Jun 14, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$51.32Jun 14, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$101.20Jun 14, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.00Jun 14, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$5.01Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?$5.39Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$11.20Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$101.20Jun 14, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$101.23Jun 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$154.79Jun 12, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.98Jun 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.39Jun 12, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.13Jun 12, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$5.06Jun 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$10.13Jun 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04Jun 11, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $27.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.