0x62f1dff312bd5d007d2d5b3028738dd761d192ed
0x62f1dff312bd5d007d2d5b3028738dd761d192ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$22.24
Total PnL
$-513.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.57
$-3.43
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$-1.73
- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
101 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.12
$-1.88
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
206 shares @ 4.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$-7.84
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.79
$-3.21
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.71
$-3.29
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-3.40
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-4.04
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.62
$-9.38
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
73 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.44
$-4.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$1.03Jul 3, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$5.11Jul 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$5.12Jul 3, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$0.00Jul 3, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 2, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMSCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?$0.00Jul 1, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$1.03Jun 29, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$5.00Jun 26, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$5.20May 31, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$5.00May 30, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$5.00May 30, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$5.20May 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$5.00May 23, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$36.51May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$5.19May 23, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$5.25May 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?$5.18May 19, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?$1.04May 19, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?$1.04May 19, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$5.00May 5, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.