Basic-Receiver
0x64c30873950dad6afb02ef68accaae3cc64575ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$60.45
Realised
$196.99
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28333 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$467.50
$-42.47
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
234 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$147.66
$-2.34
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$124.84
$39.84
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3600 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.44
$1.44
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
759 shares @ 7.9¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$89.24
$29.24
- YES
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
140 shares @ 43.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$67.67
$7.67
- SINNER
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?
104 shares @ 62.4¢·now 46.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$47.89
$-17.11
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
126 shares @ 39.7¢·now 33.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$41.78
$-8.22
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1579 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.11
$7.11
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.67
$-23.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.03Jun 17, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)$0.00Jun 17, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMHalle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro$0.00Jun 17, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$60.78Jun 17, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro$7.19Jun 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSet Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)$37.29Jun 17, 12:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro$30.61Jun 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)$101.29Jun 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-1.5)$65.87Jun 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$30.55Jun 16, 04:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$56.50Jun 15, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$30.43Jun 15, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 Corners$20.31Jun 15, 01:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 Corners$13.14Jun 14, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $50.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.