Expert-Neuropathologist
0x6560abb717a8e5f3afaacd1a31e9c03eed71e164
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$51.7K
Total PnL
$7.5K
Realised
$9.2K
Win rate
58%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.0K
$15.0K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.0K
$-15.0K
- YES
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
970 shares @ 50.4¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$378.41
$-110.76
- NO
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
338 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$270.22
$101.33
- YES
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
340 shares @ 38.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.25
$96.38
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
302 shares @ 31.1¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.87
$91.81
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 40.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$138.78
$82.58
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
80 shares @ 27.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$73.96
$51.66
- YES
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
250 shares @ 28.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$63.72
$-7.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?
2407 shares @ 7.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.18
$-119.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$4.45Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.04Jul 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.02Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?$0.06Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?$0.16Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?$0.08Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.08Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.04Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.03Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?$0.04Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?$0.14Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?$0.13Jul 28, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?$129.00Jul 28, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?$116.18Jul 28, 02:46 UTC
- YIELD$4.45Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?$0.01Jul 27, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?$0.01Jul 27, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
36 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.