0x66251f0ec4928600bf621430a7264852923d7a6b
0x66251f0ec4928600bf621430a7264852923d7a6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?
289 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.87
- YES
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?
63 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?
52 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
- YES
Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in May?
24 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?
21 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- NO
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?$13.38Jun 23, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?$2.72Jun 23, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?$1.40Jun 23, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?$68.01Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?$6.89May 31, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?$2.50May 25, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?$10.65May 25, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?$7.76May 25, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?$7.79May 24, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$0.48May 22, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$13.85May 4, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?$18.33May 4, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in May?$0.14May 3, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in May?$2.88May 3, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in May?$14.49May 3, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$1.38May 3, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$14.40May 3, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$23.30May 3, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$41.30May 3, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$50.00May 3, 02:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.