0x66c8c662d2ebc77220b9e8475603da75b2dcd1fa
0x66c8c662d2ebc77220b9e8475603da75b2dcd1fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$69.21
Total PnL
$-4.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.69
$0.14
- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.67
$0.17
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.65
$0.45
- NO
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$0.03
- NO
Vanta IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.53
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.45
$0.15
- NO
Celonis IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.42
$-0.03
- NO
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
5 shares @ 82.3¢·now 87.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.37
$0.25
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.77
$-0.28
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.73
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golden Age" during remarks at the Burning Hills Amphitheater?$0.00Jul 25, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$0.00Jul 25, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$5.00Jul 25, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$5.00Jul 25, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$5.00Jul 19, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.00Jul 14, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$5.00Jul 14, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.00Jul 13, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.00Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.00Jul 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$5.00Jul 13, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?$0.00Jul 9, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryce Dettloff be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?$5.00Jul 5, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$0.00Jul 4, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$5.00Jul 4, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?$4.13Jul 2, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$12.19Jul 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?$4.32Jul 2, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.