Hopeful-Hubris
0x66d938f5df6f7dd1f421894335579ebe4fdfbef3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$13.17
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-60.06
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
50 shares @ 31.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
3 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.11
$-0.03
- YES
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
9 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.02
$-0.96
- YES
Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
13 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.02
$-0.89
- YES
Will David Wellstone be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
7 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.01
$-0.42
- YES
Will Steve Simon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
7 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
37400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-172.08
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
12988 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
4700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
1900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.20May 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$22.40Apr 26, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.70Apr 26, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$1.62Apr 26, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. Out by December 31?$15.50Apr 26, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$6.78Apr 26, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.20Apr 26, 00:37 UTC
- REWARD$3.98Apr 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?$0.50Apr 25, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.35Apr 25, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$0.69Apr 25, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.22Apr 25, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$81.70Apr 25, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$4.60Apr 25, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$94.00Apr 25, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1.20Apr 25, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$164.34Apr 25, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$33.66Apr 25, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$130.68Apr 25, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$2.00Apr 25, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $47.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".