Truthful-Underpass
0x66dcb38e8299ca370d61a7fe6fad5e30bbb3adc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$19.91
Total PnL
$-53.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$12.40
$2.40
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
23 shares @ 43.8¢·now 23.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.46
$-4.54
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$-2.95
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
506 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
16 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$15.63Jun 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$10.11Jun 21, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$13.02Jun 11, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.35May 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.08May 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$10.26May 23, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$6.85May 23, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$14.49May 23, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?$10.40May 11, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$9.05May 11, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$10.19May 8, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$5.05May 8, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$9.73May 4, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$14.31May 4, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.12Apr 30, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $12.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.