Caring-Divine
0x67b3d755060c25b5bb36e0c1a7ba65f6738f54b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$1.21
Total PnL
$-61.17
Realised
$5.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10 shares @ 10.1¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
783 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SPOLU get more than 26% of the vote in the Czech election?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
67 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.93
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$0.00Apr 7, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$0.00Apr 7, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$8.60Apr 6, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.59Apr 6, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.57Apr 6, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.14Apr 6, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.93Apr 6, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.81Apr 6, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2.55Apr 6, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$3.00Mar 22, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 22, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 22, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$4.00Mar 5, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.30Mar 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Feb 24, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.20Feb 24, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.00Feb 23, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.00Feb 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.00Feb 23, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.