0x686ad575e84e7f620a2d739e610337525dde9d2c
0x686ad575e84e7f620a2d739e610337525dde9d2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$114.59
Total PnL
$40.55
Realised
$0.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$46.80
$21.80
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.75
$20.75
- NO
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
9 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.70
$0.13
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.26
$-0.10
- NO
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.65
$-0.14
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$0.18
- YES
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
17 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$-0.31
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$8.57May 22, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$4.79May 22, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$1.53May 22, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $6.37May 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $1.08May 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$7.13Apr 26, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$6.76Apr 23, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $8.30Apr 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $8.80Apr 17, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.80Apr 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.00Apr 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.98Apr 10, 04:46 UTC
- SPLITWill the US recognize Palestine before 2027?$50.00Apr 8, 15:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$50.00Apr 1, 11:58 UTC
- MERGEElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$5.00Mar 31, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$3.75Mar 28, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$3.75Mar 28, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?$1.45Mar 26, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$2.31Mar 20, 12:19 UTC
- SPLITWill Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?$50.00Mar 17, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $4.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.