Tempting-Component
0x698852b18f872c5e0ab2c464c2e00b39d1f0f556
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$321.08
Total PnL
$-428.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
110 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$105.05
$1.65
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
410 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.60
$-4.10
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.00
$-12.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
200 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
270 shares @ 15.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$22.95
$-18.45
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
15 shares @ 65.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$15.34
$5.34
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1100 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-391.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $3.06May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $0.80May 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $15.00May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $11.14May 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$28.00May 16, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$48.00May 16, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$51.00May 16, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$103.40May 16, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$18.70May 16, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$23.00May 11, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$21.00May 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$20.40May 2, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 2, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00May 2, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.00May 2, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$30.00May 2, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$35.00May 2, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$25.55Apr 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$26.10Apr 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$313.25Apr 7, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $41.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".