Scaly-Surge
0x6a681a1e83a5f1b49837c7a02ba1bbfd72a56679
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$694.45
Realised
$811.65
Win rate
86%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
NATO dissolves before 2027?
1376 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$102.06
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 64.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$844.83
$202.06
- NO
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?
405 shares @ 82.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$358.57
$25.46
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
300 shares @ 88.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$299.10
$34.10
- NO
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?
300 shares @ 84.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$274.47
$21.81
- NO
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
254 shares @ 87.3¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$235.79
$13.74
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 76.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$203.73
$-23.96
- NO
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 44.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$186.00
$98.00
- YES
GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$185.00
$-1.00
- NO
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?
179 shares @ 74.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$157.01
$22.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$36.00Jul 28, 09:50 UTC
- REWARD$3.28Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?$91.80Jul 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?$122.76Jul 27, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$55.89Jul 27, 04:24 UTC
- REWARD$4.49Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.13Jul 26, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$37.61Jul 26, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$55.05Jul 26, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$37.45Jul 26, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$25.26Jul 26, 21:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.72Jul 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$27.50Jul 26, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$6.36Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$62.50Jul 25, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$76.91Jul 25, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$2.20Jul 25, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$7.67Jul 25, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$86.00Jul 25, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$88.00Jul 25, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $49.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.