Dangerous-Shallows
0x6a85e3476585ba341a71ff1842548e4e9c29e2dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$12.30
Total PnL
$-28.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
64 shares @ 18.7¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.01
$-7.99
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
8 shares @ 25.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-1.02
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
82 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.07May 31, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.93Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.73Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.47Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.31Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$0.34Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.07Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$0.21Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$0.15Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.06Mar 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 1, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.00Mar 1, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.19Mar 1, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$2.22Feb 28, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$1.23Feb 8, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$4.73Feb 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 5, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 5, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Feb 4, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.