Tedious-Meme
0x6b349a1c11fb1e8d9503f940a5dbf5b84aee6040
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$19.89
Total PnL
$-137.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.49
$5.49
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 14.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.55
$1.55
- YES
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.78
$-3.22
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 26.4¢·now 28.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.26
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPrintr FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.15Apr 28, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?$5.23Apr 28, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?$5.10Apr 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?$5.07Apr 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?$5.13Apr 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$8.34Apr 28, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 17, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$5.00Mar 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$1.82Mar 17, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.