Guilty-Cranky
0x6d50d1402b75af546273297aa6dd2904bd211f5d
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$282.45
Total PnL
$-715.26
Realised
$2.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
400 shares @ 28.5¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$65.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
140 shares @ 11.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.63
$10.14
- YES
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.50
$-23.43
- YES
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?
220 shares @ 28.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.68
$-52.92
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.50
$-26.50
- YES
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.80
$-2.80
- YES
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
41 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.37
$-1.50
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
646 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.97
$-167.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.012h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$21.004d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$39.944d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$165.994d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$27.045d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$9.255d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$17.715d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$0.607d ago
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$0.657d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- TRADESELLWill 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$34.818d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$5.008d ago
- TRADESELLWill 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$6.858d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $39.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.