Coarse-Honor
0x6d513a1ab29e474c60500e658f2342259d00de90
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.93
Total PnL
$-1.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
1 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$0.41May 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.54May 25, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$1.14May 19, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$1.19May 19, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$0.00May 2, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Charlie" or "Kirk" this week on Truth Social?$0.00Apr 22, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?$1.13Apr 22, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "UFC" this week on Truth Social?$1.30Apr 22, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1.00Apr 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$1.08Apr 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?$1.02Apr 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.07Apr 17, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?$1.11Apr 17, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$1.13Apr 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$0.59Apr 15, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.74Apr 15, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "UFC" this week on Truth Social?$1.00Apr 14, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Charlie" or "Kirk" this week on Truth Social?$1.00Apr 14, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$1.00Apr 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?$1.00Apr 14, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.