Envious-Gap
0x6d5f5eb5990bc95b5852f9d0c7e01661923ce1ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$42.37
Total PnL
$-48.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.62
$3.62
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 25.6¢·now 25.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 6.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.03
$2.03
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.71
$-1.29
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 10.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.65
$1.65
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
47 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
147 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.81
$-1.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 23, 08:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.75Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.18Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.13Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.