0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781
0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$-449.16
Realised
$152.66
Win rate
76%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1100 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.0K
$-2.34
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
877 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$736.54
$123.04
- NO
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
500 shares @ 80.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$417.08
$16.35
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
500 shares @ 80.1¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$414.75
$14.30
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$389.00
$228.50
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
2700 shares @ 14.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$256.49
$-147.08
- NO
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
250 shares @ 92.2¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.25
$3.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 90.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$233.75
$7.75
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
250 shares @ 86.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.65
$10.15
- NO
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
226 shares @ 90.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.00
$11.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLParis Hilton pregnant in 2026?$0.14Jun 13, 04:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.03Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.11Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$37.89Jun 12, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.11Jun 12, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.45Jun 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.11Jun 12, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.37Jun 12, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19.23Jun 12, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.85Jun 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$18.59Jun 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?$9.22Jun 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$7.34Jun 12, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$50.00Jun 12, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$100.00Jun 12, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$222.24Jun 12, 19:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.49Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.98Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $32.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.