Melodic-Shot
0x6d828157379b72256a23acde685f97a36dd07d33
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$917.05
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
6500 shares @ 70.7¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$-433.22
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
3192 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$94.66
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 61.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$266.00
$22.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$219.33
$19.33
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$189.81
$39.81
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
363 shares @ 82.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$59.88
$-240.12
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$59.50
$8.50
- YES
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
200 shares @ 65.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.00
$-108.99
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
42 shares @ 26.5¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.02
$1.87
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2250 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-281.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$591.36Jun 14, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$221.32Jun 14, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$22.00Jun 14, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?$1.0KJun 14, 06:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$470.85Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$1.2KJun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$244.00Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?$991.00Jun 13, 05:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$20.00Jun 12, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$800.00Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$9.81Jun 11, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$153.91Jun 11, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$13.27Jun 11, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$667.30Jun 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$52.17Jun 11, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$205.53Jun 11, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$1.5KJun 11, 09:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $141.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.