Noted-Pathogenesis
0x6e85b0ce1cbc580806e09c4ef9756a66a8b61f81
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$-17.8K
Realised
$-709.15
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1209 shares @ 59.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$312.99
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$975.00
$25.00
- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1035 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$967.38
$150.02
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$785.00
$315.00
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$675.00
$-225.00
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32353 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$533.82
$-16.18
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$495.00
$-435.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$465.00
$45.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
980 shares @ 61.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$338.00
$-259.80
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38889 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$330.56
$-19.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$432.42Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87.18Jun 13, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$570.62Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?$345.57Jun 11, 11:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$111.42Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.32Jun 7, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.42Jun 7, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.36Jun 7, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.48Jun 7, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.56Jun 7, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.47Jun 7, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.36Jun 7, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.67Jun 7, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.07Jun 7, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $38.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.