Heavy-Administrator
0x6eafe4d24cc9c98fa11415daa60b0f63851eee69
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$11.56
Total PnL
$-853.49
Realised
$-91.01
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
32 shares @ 26.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$5.44
$-2.88
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
10 shares @ 69.3¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.54
$-3.17
- NO
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.08
$-5.92
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-2.37
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
651 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-105.45
- NO
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?
633 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-216.53
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?
485 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-48.53
- NO
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?
481 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-90.96
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
352 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-42.30
- MARIANO
Nik Airball vs Mariano: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?
300 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-173.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$5.46Apr 21, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$31.26Apr 21, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$10.56Apr 21, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$10.78Apr 21, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$12.23Apr 21, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$122.69Apr 21, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$9.12Apr 1, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$122.97Apr 1, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$9.43Mar 21, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?$51.44Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$63.02Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates$82.36Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$87.00Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$112.06Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRobinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$45.68Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$147.95Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$153.97Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$177.45Feb 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$135.44Feb 5, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$154.37Feb 5, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $106.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".