Fruitful-Gaiters
0x6f70e85bcd3b6c90a58ce79a25d5e21ecf4fad31
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$244.26
Total PnL
$-276.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.12
$10.12
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
284 shares @ 74.1¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.89
$-122.11
- NO
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.75
$11.75
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
16 shares @ 62.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.96
$2.96
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
282 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$-24.45
- NO
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
101 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
76 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.49Jun 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$6.28Apr 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$72.00Apr 29, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Snapchat be acquired before 2027?$25.17Apr 29, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00Apr 13, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00Apr 13, 09:37 UTC
- REWARD$1.49Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.60Apr 12, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$27.34Apr 12, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$47.00Apr 12, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$62.00Apr 12, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.33Apr 12, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $37.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.