Arid-Escalator
0x6f71b848890a88180464d41aa0e83cb3c821b80e
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$29.00
Realised
$-0.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$467.53
$13.50
- YES
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$242.11
$-0.13
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$196.50
$48.50
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 87.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$193.75
$-23.75
- NO
Fiston Mayele: 2+ goals
174 shares @ 97.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$165.86
$-4.66
- YES
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 96.4¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$142.80
$-1.80
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
200 shares @ 48.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$115.00
$19.00
- NO
Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ goals
106 shares @ 97.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$101.19
$-2.68
- NO
Bernardo Silva: 3+ goals
97 shares @ 97.9¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$93.01
$-2.40
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$92.34
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45.89Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.80Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$252.08Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.12Jun 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.67Jun 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$13.36Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$13.06Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$156.29Jun 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.26Jun 13, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.02Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$144.60Jun 13, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.55Jun 12, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.15Jun 12, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGonçalo Guedes: 3+ goals$103.94Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFiston Mayele: 2+ goals$170.62Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals$66.79Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals$22.79Jun 12, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBernardo Silva: 3+ goals$95.46Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.00Jun 12, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $92.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.