Substantial-Loading
0x6f8bab6a6c2330c761604ce9736122f6cc5f56ed
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$177.06
Total PnL
$-134.61
Realised
$1.18
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
180 shares @ 5.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.20
$7.20
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
36 shares @ 25.2¢·now 31.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.21
$2.21
- YES
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
32 shares @ 28.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$10.77
$1.77
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
14 shares @ 64.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.47
$1.47
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $215?
31 shares @ 29.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.15
$0.16
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
14 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.07
$0.07
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
41 shares @ 22.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
48 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.91
$-0.24
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
16 shares @ 33.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.80
$2.38
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?
17 shares @ 54.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.58
$-1.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$4.502h ago
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$8.282h ago
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?$4.073h ago
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 11 2026?$3.093h ago
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 11 2026?$4.314h ago
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$4.504h ago
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?$12.805h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in May?$2.855h ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 11 2026?$9.505h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$6.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$1.945h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in May?$0.325h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 11 2026?$9.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 11 2026?$9.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?$6.075h ago
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$2.405h ago
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$6.605h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?$9.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$6.205h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
