Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Probability
21¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.1h
- 11:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6017h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:53PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 21¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 22¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 21¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 21¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 26¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 26¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).