Competent-Transaction
0x70c14608f9c06ad9a5f48f1d6ddb6c0fc2d41be2
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$452.4K
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
316871 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$243.5K
$85.1K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
316871 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$73.4K
$-85.1K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
28209 shares @ 92.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.1K
$2.0K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
22333 shares @ 83.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.5K
$867.27
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
15374 shares @ 90.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.2K
$1.3K
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
14169 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.0K
$788.26
- NO
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
14000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.8K
$812.03
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
8192 shares @ 81.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.4K
$719.91
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
7340 shares @ 92.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.2K
$426.87
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
6990 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.8K
$754.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$28.28Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$111.00Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$72.18Jun 12, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.53Jun 12, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.00Jun 12, 03:56 UTC
- YIELD$28.28Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$1.21Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.14Jun 11, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.05Jun 11, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.14Jun 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.20Jun 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.20Jun 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.20Jun 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$835.83Jun 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$7.76Jun 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$719.50Jun 11, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$689.84Jun 11, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $219.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.