Rural-Attic
0x70defa6950cb86fa73e49f88375e0f2800e38cf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$499.09
Total PnL
$11.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
141 shares @ 90.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$137.30
$10.12
- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
50 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$46.88
$0.25
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
50 shares @ 83.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.77
$-1.77
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$33.75
$3.25
- NO
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
40 shares @ 85.7¢·now 84.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.66
$-0.62
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.25
$0.75
- NO
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$26.90
$1.22
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$2.58
$-2.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$400.00Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$3.84Jul 25, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$11.55Jul 25, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$10.29Jul 25, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$49.52Jul 25, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$94.00Jul 25, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$100.00Jul 25, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$10.35Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$18.81Jul 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$75.19Jul 12, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$10.05Jul 12, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)$99.99Jul 12, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$28.83Jul 10, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$5.45Jul 10, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)$63.98Jul 10, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)$27.91Jul 9, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner drop out by July 17?$100.00Jul 9, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$88.72Jul 8, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.95Jul 8, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $43.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.