Misguided-Stealth
0x719d354a5e5c8cdc0b65bcf93a1895193a6d23ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$137.34
Total PnL
$-123.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
229 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.85
$-1.15
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
198 shares @ 32.8¢·now 26.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.76
$-12.24
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.24
$-4.76
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.56
$0.56
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
62 shares @ 16.2¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.93
$-5.07
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
2143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
621 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$4.82Jun 12, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$25.85Jun 11, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.19Jun 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$10.58Jun 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$5.00Jun 11, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$12.50Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$5.12Jun 5, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$4.96Jun 5, 09:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$40.00May 28, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$6.00May 25, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$10.00May 25, 10:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$15.40May 24, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $15.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.