Calculating-Fragrance
0x724b827ebe834455bba0c2ec335eba6de74d81bd
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$229.75
Total PnL
$-49.06
Realised
$-11.92
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
947 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$71.04
$-21.22
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
159 shares @ 40.9¢·now 40.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$64.16
$-0.88
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.17
$-1.83
- YES
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
37 shares @ 21.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.03
$0.37
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
15 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.69
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$0.093h ago
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$0.223h ago
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$0.093h ago
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$0.043h ago
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$5.053h ago
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$34.693h ago
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$2.003h ago
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$2.003h ago
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$2.103h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.003h ago
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$2.003h ago
- TRADEBUYNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$2.003h ago
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$2.083h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.034h ago
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.034h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.034h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.034h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.034h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.034h ago
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.034h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".