0x72b2d0ffab41c12727fdfe52e530320d50325548
0x72b2d0ffab41c12727fdfe52e530320d50325548
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$836.06
Total PnL
$-835.24
Realised
$-588.87
Win rate
27%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
399 shares @ 33.3¢·now 45.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$182.72
$50.16
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
313 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$136.15
$-1.57
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
445 shares @ 38.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.81
$-82.78
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
184 shares @ 38.3¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.43
$-5.22
- YES
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
65 shares @ 16.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$64.94
$53.97
- YES
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
362 shares @ 9.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$48.87
$13.49
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
121 shares @ 33.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.63
$7.10
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
301 shares @ 14.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.63
$-5.72
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
384 shares @ 10.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.46
$-3.07
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
85 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$25.85
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$12.83Jul 29, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$8.65Jul 29, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$3.53Jul 29, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$1.92Jul 29, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.54Jul 29, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.89Jul 29, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.89Jul 29, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.37Jul 29, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.59Jul 29, 01:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$9.27Jul 28, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$10.10Jul 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.47Jul 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.89Jul 28, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$2.71Jul 28, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?$11.88Jul 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?$14.31Jul 28, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$9.47Jul 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$9.47Jul 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
30 closed markets, 27% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.