Brown-Wiring
0x73ae95e6ff558001024e8dda933105cc15ead34c
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$4.41
Total PnL
$-194.49
Realised
$-4.32
Win rate
0%
118 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YUE YUAN
Libema Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Robin Montgomery
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
41 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.26Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.29Jul 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.44Jul 11, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.88Jul 11, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$2.17Jul 11, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.96Jul 11, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.39Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.26Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2.50Jul 11, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2.41Jul 11, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.82Jul 11, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.78Jul 11, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.49Jul 11, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.24Jul 11, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$2.50Jul 11, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$2.27Jul 11, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.50Jul 11, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.43Jul 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.36Jul 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.38Jul 11, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 118 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
118 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 118 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.