Bulky-Antler
0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$360.6K
Total PnL
$-393.6K
Realised
$72.0K
Win rate
46%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
51162 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$51.1K
$2.4K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
50129 shares @ 71.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.8K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
41599 shares @ 55.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.6K
$12.6K
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
48339 shares @ 3.6¢·now 51.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.1K
$23.3K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
23156 shares @ 90.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.0K
$2.0K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
235476 shares @ 10.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.0K
$-5.6K
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
15584 shares @ 68.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.7K
$4.0K
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
40526 shares @ 8.9¢·now 36.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$14.6K
$11.0K
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
14588 shares @ 75.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.8K
$2.8K
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
17170 shares @ 38.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$12.8K
$6.2K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$202.67Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.91Jul 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.4KJul 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$82.69Jul 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.1KJul 28, 10:08 UTC
- YIELD$1.88Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.84Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$167.16Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$3.5KJul 27, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$16.87Jul 27, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$9.60Jul 27, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$120.00Jul 27, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$2.56Jul 27, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$15.68Jul 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$0.68Jul 27, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$2.40Jul 27, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$600.00Jul 27, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$0.60Jul 27, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$37.20Jul 27, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$0.60Jul 27, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$79.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
76%
Window
May 21, 09:00 UTC → Jul 13, 02:13 UTC
- BUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$5.1K@62¢Jul 10, 22:21 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 11 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
59 closed markets, 46% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.1K
1 trades
Buy share
76%
Sample
medium
11 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
$10.8K · 14% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $250.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.