Polished-Hexagon
0x747837d9e1763345ab994e8652c8d0ba59bb4003
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$42.1K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40501 shares @ 79.3¢·now 73.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$29.8K
$-2.3K
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
2792 shares @ 79.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$468.39
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1814 shares @ 78.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.3K
$-130.32
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
1201 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$97.27
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
1382 shares @ 78.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.1K
$50.97
- NO
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
713 shares @ 81.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$616.89
$34.62
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
497 shares @ 84.9¢·now 87.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$434.02
$12.02
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
630 shares @ 76.2¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$409.46
$-70.43
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
777 shares @ 49.6¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$369.22
$-16.29
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
371 shares @ 80.1¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$348.61
$51.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$72.46May 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.13May 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.13May 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.13May 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.64May 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.13May 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.14May 31, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $119.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.