Short-Branch
0x75a27d0cc95b3586297c1e6b5417269332cd6992
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$9.44
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
7099 shares @ 12.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$624.71
$-247.66
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
2959 shares @ 36.2¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$621.29
$-450.38
- YES
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?
1606 shares @ 18.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$505.81
$205.81
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
741 shares @ 57.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$277.94
$-150.56
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1400 shares @ 37.5¢·now 18.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$264.60
$-260.40
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
1289 shares @ 23.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$264.23
$-35.76
- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
10860 shares @ 38.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$228.05
$-4.0K
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
3368 shares @ 41.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$52.21
$-1.3K
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
10295 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-646.74
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
2806 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-466.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$5.83Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$96.60Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$46.25Jun 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$46.74Jun 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$94.80Jun 11, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$166.06Jun 11, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.90Jun 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$142.77Jun 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$31.67Jun 11, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$0.39Jun 11, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$70.91Jun 11, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$2.11Jun 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$0.18Jun 11, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$4.95Jun 11, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$4.87Jun 11, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$198.35Jun 11, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$138.11Jun 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.2KJun 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$19.86Jun 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$746.17Jun 11, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $161.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.