Grouchy-Hair
0x75d0cb443843a4c91de3314da9dae3f401f477cb
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$270.66
Total PnL
$-25.35
Realised
$18.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
150 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.75
$3.75
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.75
$1.05
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
30 shares @ 59.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.05
$1.15
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.50
$0.90
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
14 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.67
$0.48
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$9.99
$1.39
- NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
10 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.83
$0.04
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.65
$0.65
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.55
$-0.05
- NO
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?
6 shares @ 93.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.47
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$9.454h ago
- REDEEMChirayu Rana fired?$5.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$14.6010h ago
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$9.7910h ago
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$8.6011h ago
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana fired?$5.4011h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?$5.3212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?$4.4014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.4314h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$50.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.2022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.301d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.702d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$6.602d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$8.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$6.202d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.502d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.402d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?$7.482d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 30d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".