Staid-Stand
0x77391bfc0f07a7b034dd4487929a612c56801ea3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.67
Total PnL
$-6.53
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 59.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$-0.88
- NO
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Mossad" during his Epstein testimony?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- $60K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.17Apr 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.98Apr 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.00Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.84Apr 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.00Apr 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.86Apr 8, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$2.00Mar 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELL World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?$2.45Mar 10, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Mar 4, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.04Feb 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.01Feb 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$2.01Feb 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.56Feb 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.00Feb 28, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$1.14Feb 28, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.85Feb 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$1.00Feb 28, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$0.98Feb 28, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.