Grandiose-Cactus
0x773dd4a990d4418e0341ffc23610d2e520739382
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.15
Total PnL
$-4.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- SEBASTIAN OFNER
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Busta
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?$1.008h ago
- TRADEBUYSharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?$1.008h ago
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.868h ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.908h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.422d ago
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.507d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.0012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$0.9112d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$1.0012d ago
- TRADESELLWill KT Rolster make a roster change before July?$1.8912d ago
- TRADEBUYWill KT Rolster make a roster change before July?$1.0023d ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.0524d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$2.8424d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces Attorney General pick by April 17, 2026?$0.4426d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 53d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".