Impartial-Tatami
0x789a4c347bdfb52d8772fa8225917cbfc13a1dda
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$774.32
Total PnL
$-280.09
Realised
$0.23
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
107 shares @ 69.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$89.12
$14.57
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
80 shares @ 92.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.13
$-1.13
- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
79 shares @ 47.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$53.35
$16.20
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
149 shares @ 50.2¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$52.19
$-22.69
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
299 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$49.37
$4.49
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
281 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$46.41
$1.41
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
56 shares @ 59.1¢·now 75.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$42.04
$9.24
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?
42 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$38.31
$-1.05
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
82 shares @ 54.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.07
$-10.73
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
29 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$27.37
$4.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?$39.45Jul 15, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?$14.86Jul 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$14.49Jul 15, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$37.18Jul 15, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$14.85Jul 15, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$37.93Jul 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$39.63Jul 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$39.78Jul 15, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$40.14Jul 15, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$14.87Jul 15, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.14Jul 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $14.73Jul 14, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$126.42Jul 14, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$101.14Jul 14, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.21Jul 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$124.46Jul 14, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$100.75Jul 14, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$0.11Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$4.90Jul 14, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $35.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.