0x78b4175fb066e70491dd62097adc075e91d36063
0x78b4175fb066e70491dd62097adc075e91d36063
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$71.64
Total PnL
$-8.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.10
$2.34
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.01
$2.24
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.99
$2.30
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.08
$1.70
- YES
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
6 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.08
$1.52
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.07
$1.15
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 75.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.07
$1.45
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
6 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.04
$1.22
- NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.06
$0.91
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.06
$0.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$6.10Apr 30, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?$0.01Apr 30, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$0.08Apr 30, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.15Apr 27, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.83Apr 27, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.86Apr 27, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.56Apr 27, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$5.06Apr 27, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$0.10Apr 27, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.02Apr 27, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor reach $6 in April?$0.00Apr 27, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 27, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$0.06Apr 27, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?$0.06Apr 27, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$0.06Apr 27, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$0.02Apr 27, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$0.00Apr 27, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.02Apr 27, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$0.00Apr 27, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?$6.01Apr 27, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.