Messy-Pinstripe
0x78e3e9446099504c0771dfba10d48767b045e659
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
135
Open notional
$40.78
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$10.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- YES
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.62
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.16
$-0.01
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.37
$0.00
- NO
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.23
$0.04
- YES
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
3 shares @ 94.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.97
$-0.57
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.68
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$2.00May 31, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?$5.00May 30, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$1.40May 30, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Nemesis" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.49May 30, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$1.94May 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nemesis" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.45May 24, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$1.34May 24, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.45May 19, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$1.84May 19, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?$1.00May 7, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?$2.55May 7, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?$1.03May 7, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30?$1.74May 7, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.86May 7, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.08May 7, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?$2.26May 7, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.23May 7, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?$1.33Apr 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.02Apr 21, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.85Apr 21, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $42.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".