Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
Probability
31¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$66.22
Liquidity
$19.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-13.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 905.0h
- 06:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 905h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 31¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 31¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 31¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 31¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 30¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 29¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 30¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 31¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 31¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 31¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 31¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 31¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 31¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 31¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 31¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 30¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).